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Submitted by: Marvinut Sumlar
Wall Street was beaten up on Friday prior to going into the weekend. Risk adverse trading finished the day with investors basically trying to find protection. The United states dollar gained against the EUR and Gbp and ended in the middle of its range, which basically arranges the approaching days as an additional check for traders. The Euro lagged per the hints that the ECB might be conditioning its stand towards a group of interest rate increases. ECB President Trichet made it clear that July may very well be the last of its rate increases as a way to maintain its protection against creeping inflation. Also the simple fact the Federal reserve has not indicated that it is planning to implement further quantitative easing has set the table for a delicate balancing act among two economic spheres that are infamous in many respects. The Commodity and Forex markets both came across swift and unstable trading on Friday and investors will tend to be nervous starting the next few days of trading.
The major equity markets of the United States carried out with their sixth consecutive negative week. Gold has come across a fairly intriguing consolidated range. The precious metal is at 1530.00 USD as of this morning. Crude Oil looks softer on conflicting reports about production disagreements within OPEC. The AUD concluded last week on a negative slope too.
Most of Europe will have banking holidays today meaning the Forex market might be a bit calmer than normal up until the U.S. opens. Australia was fundamentally closed also today. There won’t be any main economic releases from the U.S. today. Thus investors will awake today with the left over flavor of risk adverse sentiment still in their mouths. The United States will publish Retail Sales data tomorrow. On Wednesday the Empire State Manufacturing Index record will be brought forth. Thursday the weekly Unemployment Claims will come and on Friday a Consumer Sentiment reading will be presented. U.S. facts has been poor for pretty much two months and the discussion that has started to be won by skeptics shows that the U.S. economic outlook isn’t as positive as the government had suggested.
In Europe the economic outlook also remains hazy. The debt problem has not disappeared. As of this morning no apparent structure has been made for the Greek debt problem. European ministers have confirmed that Greece will get another bailout package, but the precise nature of the Greek austerity measures and its accounting haven’t been made known. Bond yields via Sovereign Debt obligations from Portugal, Spain, Italy, as well as others continue being firmly under the microscope. The Euro endured acute losses in late trading on Friday and part of its decline will be viewed as a signal that investors might not have been willing to hold the Single Currency for a long holiday weekend. This will likely be a fairly light week of new data from Europe and the EUR is likely to deal with its tests immediately based on risk sentiment.
The Gbp was taken reduced going into the weekend. This may have been a result of from overhang in connection with its EUR centric mode. But the Sterling is not getting much assistance from bad U.K. economic figures either. Inflation data is going to be released tomorrow. Thursday will prove intriguing with Retail Sales statistics. The Gbp similar to its counterparts has found itself with a brisk range and this week ought to generate chances for contributors willing to stomach possible volatility.
The JPY finds it challenging to create much excitement. It’s been in a consolidated way for a while. The Japanese economy faces many difficulties. Short term the JPY looks set to stick around within the stronger parts of its range, long term the JPY should shed value in order to help Japan s hurting export firms.
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